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Tag: U.S. tariffs

Fed Flags Trump Trade War as Longest Inflation Risk Since Pandemic Era

The Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy decisions are pivotal in shaping the U.S. economy. These decisions have wide-reaching consequences, affecting inflation, unemployment, and ultimately, economic stability. As the U.S. economy grapples with complex challenges, including trade policies, wage growth, and political uncertainty, the Fed’s role becomes ever more critical. A recent Reuters article highlighted concerns among Fed officials regarding President-elect Donald Trump's proposed aggressive tariffs and deportation policies, which could extend the fight against inflation, potentially slowing economic growth and increasing unemployment. The article underscores the complex interplay between political decisions and central bank policies.

Unleashing the Most Disruptive Trade Shift: How U.S. Tariffs Triggered the Worst IMF Forecast Revision in Years

In April 2025, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) significantly downgraded its forecast for U.S. economic growth, projecting a slowdown to 1.8% for the year, a notable decrease from the previous estimate of 2.7%. This revision is largely attributed to escalating trade tensions following the implementation of tariffs by the U.S. administration. The IMF also raised its U.S. inflation forecast to approximately 3%, about a one-percentage-point increase from earlier projections. (Investopedia)