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Tag: financial market signals

Shockwaves in the Bond Market: Legal and Policy Stakes as Yields Plunge on Rate-Cut Hopes

Shockwaves in the Bond Market: On May 22, 2025, U.S. Treasury bond yields plunged after unexpectedly weak retail sales and industrial production data reignited investor expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might pivot toward a policy rate cut. The benchmark 10-year note fell below 3.50%, its lowest since late 2023, and the 2-year yield—more sensitive to near-term Fed action—dipped under 3.60% (Wall Street Journal, May 22, 2025). This event highlights an acute tension between market-driven forecasts and the Fed’s congressional mandate under the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 (12 U.S.C. § 225a). While the Act charges the Fed with promoting “maximum employment” and “stable prices,” ambiguity persists in defining when and how monetary tools may be adjusted.